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2010/06/30

Long-Term Installation Goal on Wind Power Generation and Roadmap V2.1

Although JWPA announced the “Capacity and Potential of Wind Power Generation and an Estimate of the Long-Term Installation Goals and Roadmap Thereon Ver1. 1” on January 15, 2010, JWPA announces the V2.1 including consideration of almost all social constraints.

For the summary, please click below:
http://jwpa.jp/pdf/50-24roadmapV2.1ppt.pdf

For the Word file, including preconditions for the estimation and others, please see Wind Power Archives in the Members Only Page.

< Estimation Results >
◊ Please be careful to prevent the results from being shown separately because the estimation conditions are shown together with the results.
◊ With changes in the social conditions hereafter, the estimation conditions are expected to vary, resulting in changes to each value.

1. Potential
1) In the case of no constraints on the installed capacity of each electric power company.
Onshore wind power: 168.90 GW
Foundation-type offshore wind power: 93.83 GW
Floating-type offshore wind power: 519.49 GW
Total: 782.22 GW (3.87 times installed capacity of total domestic power generation)

2) In the case of constraints up to a ceiling on the installed capacity of each electric power company.
Onshore wind power: 64.57 GW
Foundation-type offshore wind power: 35.10 GW
Floating-type offshore wind power: 102.44 GW
Total: 202.30 GW (1.00 times installed capacities of total domestic power generation)

2. Long-Term Installation Goal
Increase the supply ratio of electricity generated by wind power generation to more than 10% of electric power demand in Japan by 2050.
→ Installed capacity of wind power generation: 50,000 MW (50 GW)
Catchphrase: Fifty-fifty

3. Roadmap
2010: 3 GW
2020: 11.31 GW
2030: 27.00 GW
2040: 44.30 GW
2050: 50.00 GW